Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marko Arnautovic 13' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 26' goal
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 55' goal
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 48'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 69'

Inter Milan vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 5.00pm
Parma 2 - 2 Inter Milan
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
Empoli 0 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 5.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.34%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 81.68% (+0.09)
Draw 12.6% (-0.04)
Cagliari 5.72% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.81% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.04% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 36.96% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 40.86% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 59.14% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.83% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.17% (+0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 93.09% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 6.9% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 74.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.36% (-0.04)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 43.84% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 56.16% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 11.44% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 88.56% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 81.67%
Draw 12.6%
Cagliari 5.72%
Inter Milan
2-0 @ 13.85% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 12.34% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 10.36% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.41% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 81.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 12.6%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.72%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 71'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 78'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 12' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 74' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 40'
  • goal Eldor Shomurodov 64'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 73'
  • goal Nicolas Viola 83'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Zito Luvumbo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 81'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 54' goal
  • goal Matteo Darmian 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 37'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 51'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 84'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 87'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 29' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 33' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sanchez 50' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 66' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 68' goal
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 43'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 76'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 52' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 77' goal
  • yellowcard Radja Nainggolan 90'+3'