Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.18%) and 0-1 (4.83%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.