Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Hoffenheim
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Campo La Quinta
B. Leverkusen
  • Alexander Prass 35' yellowcard
  • Mergim Berisha 37' goal
  • Pellegrino Matarazzo 61' yellowcard
  • Kevin Akpoguma 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Terrier 17'
  • goal Victor Boniface 30'
  • yellowcard Martin Terrier 39'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 51'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 72'
  • goal Victor Boniface 75'

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Frankfurt 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 3 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.67%) and 0-1 (5.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Hoffenheim 32.05% ▼ (-1.16)
Draw 21.82% ▼ (-0.16)
Bayer Leverkusen 46.13% ▲ (+1.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.35% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.69% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 31.31% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 3.5 47.24% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 52.75% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 28.25% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 4.5 71.74% ▼ (-0.32)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 79.76% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 0.5 20.23% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 1.5 47.43% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 1.5 52.56% ▲ (+0.74)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 85.69% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 0.5 14.31% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 1.5 57.87% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 1.5 42.12% ▼ (-1.11)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 32.05%
Draw 21.82%
Bayer Leverkusen 46.13%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.18)
1-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 32.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.82%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.18)
0-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.16)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.14)
2-4 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.11)
3-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% ▼ (-98.73)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 46.13%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
B. Leverkusen
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
Hoffenheim
  • Robert Andrich 88' goal
  • Patrik Schick 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Tim Drexler 19'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 33'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Hoffenheim
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Campo La Quinta
B. Leverkusen
  • Wout Weghorst 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ozan Kabak 48' yellowcard
  • Anton Stach 56' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 58' goal
  • Grischa Promel 60' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Wirtz 9'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 45'+1'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 70'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 72'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Stanley Nsoki 77' goal
  • goal Robert Andrich 6'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 46'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 56'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Moussa Diaby 56' yellowcard
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 9'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 35'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 57'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 74'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 78'
  • yellowcard Angelino 83'
  • yellowcard Kevin Akpoguma 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Georginio Rutter 22' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 36' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 66' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 34'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 73'
  • goal Patrik Schick 76'
  • goal Lucas Alario 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Moussa Diaby 21' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 37' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 60' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 63' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 85' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 86' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 21'
  • yellowcard David Raum 28'
  • goal Angelo Stiller 80'
  • goal Moanes Dabour 83'
  • yellowcard Moanes Dabour 88'

Form Data

Frankfurt 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 3 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Wurzburger 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 0 - 2 Fulham
Ipswich 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 2 - 2 Norwich
B. Leverkusen 2 - 3 RB Leipzig
Carl Zeiss 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Borussia M'bach 2 - 3 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 2 Stuttgart
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Betis
Arsenal 4 - 1 B. Leverkusen