La Liga Gameweek 16
Girona
Dec 7, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Real Madrid
  • Ladislav Krejci 76' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 90' yellowcard
  • Portu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jude Bellingham 36'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 45'+2'
  • goal Arda Guler 55'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 62'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 76'

Girona vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 1.00pm
Villarreal 2 - 2 Girona
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Cristhian Stuani

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2024 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Girona 33.76% ▼ (-0.73)
Draw 24.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Real Madrid 41.81% ▲ (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.29% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.56% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 43.44% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 34.16% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 65.84% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 17.64% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 82.35% ▲ (+0.18)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5 74.95% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 0.5 25.05% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 1.5 40.27% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 1.5 59.73% ▲ (+0.74)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 79.11% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 20.89% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 46.4% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 53.59% ▼ (-0.37)

Score analysis

Girona 33.76%
Draw 24.42%
Real Madrid 41.81%
Girona
2-1 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.11)
1-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 33.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.42%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.81%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 24
Real Madrid
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Girona
  • Vinicius Junior 6' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 35' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 54' goal
  • Rodrygo 61' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juanpe 21'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 68'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Girona
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Real Madrid
  • Eric Garcia 64' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Stuani 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joselu 17'
  • goal Joselu 17'
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 21'
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 21'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 71'
  • yellowcard Kepa Arrizabalaga 84'
  • redcard Nacho 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Girona
Apr 25, 2023 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Real Madrid
  • Valentin Castellanos 12' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 24' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 46' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 62' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 34'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 85'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Real Madrid
Oct 30, 2022 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Girona
  • Vinicius Junior 70' goal
  • goal Cristhian Stuani 80'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Real Madrid
Feb 17, 2019 11.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Girona
  • Casemiro 25' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 64' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 88' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Lozano 48'
  • goal Cristhian Stuani 65'
  • goal Portu 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Alcala 86'
Copa del Rey
Girona
Jan 31, 2019 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Real Madrid
  • Cristhian Stuani 49' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 71' goal
  • Anthony Lozano 72' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 27'
  • goal Karim Benzema 43'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 65'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 76'

Form Data

UD Logrones 0 - 0 Girona
Villarreal 2 - 2 Girona
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Girona
Girona 4 - 1 Espanyol
Getafe 0 - 1 Girona
PSV 4 - 0 Girona
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Getafe
Liverpool 2 - 0 Real Madrid
Leganes 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna
Real Madrid 1 - 3 AC Milan

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups