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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Athletic Bilbao logo

Girona
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Tsygankov (55')
Blind (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (67')
Guruzeta (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Girona's winning run will come to an end at some point, and Athletic have enough quality to triumph on Monday. It is so difficult to back the hosts to lose at the moment, but we are expecting the points to be shared here, as Athletic have also been one of the most impressive sides in the division this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
37.56% (-0.646 -0.65) 26.68% (0.251 0.25) 35.76% (0.395 0.39)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.785 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-1.012 -1.01)53.08% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.868 -0.87)74.66% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.843 -0.84)27.4% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-1.105 -1.11)62.88% (1.104 1.1)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)28.47% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.315 -0.32)64.23% (0.314 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Girona 37.55%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.76%
    Draw 26.67%
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.306 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.318 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: Girona vs Athletic Bilbao

Girona
67.1%
Draw
21.6%
Athletic Bilbao
11.4%
167
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-3
Girona
Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
Garcia (4'), De Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Girona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (67'), Martin (75')
Guruzeta (78')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
Feb 4, 2018 5.30pm
Girona
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (7' pen., 65')
Maffeo (46')

Nunez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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