International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Algarve
  • goal Ryan Christie 58'
  • goal Che Adams 85'

Gibraltar vs Scotland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

Scotland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Scotland 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 88.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.01%) and 0-4 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Scotland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Scotland.

Result

Gibraltar 2.77% (+0.06)
Draw 8.75% (+0.12)
Scotland 88.48% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.32% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.93% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 34.08% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 44.05% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 55.95% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 25.48% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 74.52% (+0.23)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 32.97% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 67.03% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 6.16% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 93.84% (-0.07)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 95% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 5.01% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 80.01% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 19.99% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Gibraltar 2.77%
Draw 8.75%
Scotland 88.46%
Gibraltar
1-0 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 2.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.02% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.36% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 8.75%
Scotland
0-2 @ 15.04% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 15.01% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 11.24% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 10.04% (+0.07)
0-5 @ 6.73% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.01% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
0-6 @ 3.36% (-0.06)
1-5 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
0-7 @ 1.44% (-0.04)
1-6 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 88.46%

Head to Head

European Championship
Oct 11, 2015 7.45pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Chris Martin 24'
  • goal Shaun Maloney 39'
  • goal Steven Fletcher 52'
  • goal Steven Fletcher 56'
  • goal Steven Fletcher 85'
  • goal Steven Naismith 91'
European Championship
Mar 29, 2015 5.00pm
6
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Shaun Maloney 18' goal
  • Steven Fletcher 29' goal
  • Shaun Maloney 34' goal
  • Steven Naismith 39' goal
  • Steven Fletcher 77' goal
  • Steven Fletcher 90' goal
  • goal Lee Casciaro 20'