Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 88.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.01%) and 0-4 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Scotland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Scotland.