Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.