Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 10.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Georgia win it was 2-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.