Copa Libertadores
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-
Gonzalo Plata
43'
-
Erick Pulgar
53'
-
Vinicius Lima
87'
-
Javier Cabrera
13'
-
Damian Garcia
29'
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Javier Mendez
32'
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Washington Aguerre
90'+1'
Flamengo vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Flamengo
71.24%
▼
(-1.76)
Draw
18.19%
▲
(+0.97)
Penarol
10.57%
▲
(+0.80)
Both Teams to Score:
44.2%
▼
(-0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.33%
▼
(-1.97)
Under 2.5
45.66%
▲
(+1.97)
Over 3.5
32.01%
▼
(-1.90)
Under 3.5
67.99%
▲
(+1.90)
Over 4.5
16.08%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 4.5
83.91%
▲
(+1.37)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
88.49%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 0.5
11.51%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 1.5
63.61%
▼
(-2.21)
Under 1.5
36.39%
▲
(+2.21)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
49.95%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
50.05%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
15.3%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
84.69%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Flamengo
71.23%
Draw
18.19%
Penarol
10.57%
Flamengo
2-0
@
13.46%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 12.45% ▲ (+0.53)
3-0 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.38)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.44)
4-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.30)
5-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 71.23%
1-0 @ 12.45% ▲ (+0.53)
3-0 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.38)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.44)
4-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.30)
5-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 71.23%
Draw
1-1
@
8.62%
▲
(+0.44)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.47)
2-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 18.19%
0-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.47)
2-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 18.19%
Penarol
0-1
@
3.99%
▲
(+0.36)
1-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.57%
1-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.57%
