Conference League
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-
Christian Kouame
38'
-
David Goldar
53'
-
Fabiano Parisi
60'
-
Lucas Martinez
72'
-
Bruno
74'
-
Tommaso Rubino
83'
-
Ivan Sunjic
43'
-
Pepe
60'
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Jairo
68'
-
Joao Correia
73'
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Jair Diego Alves de Brito
87'
Fiorentina vs Pafos FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result
Fiorentina
60.58%
▲
(+0.19)
Draw
21.21%
▼
(-0.07)
Pafos FC
18.21%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
54.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.44%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
42.55%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
35.04%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
64.95%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
18.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
81.7%
▼
(-0.09)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
86.39%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
13.6%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
59.25%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
40.74%
▼
(-0.19)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5
63.02%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
36.98%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
26.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
73.76%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Fiorentina
60.56%
Draw
21.21%
Pafos FC
18.21%
Fiorentina
1-0
@
10.03%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 60.56%
2-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 60.56%
Draw
1-1
@
9.98%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.21%
0-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.21%
Pafos FC
0-1
@
5%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.21%
1-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.21%