Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.