Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 0
Stoke

Adams (60'), Thompson (79')

Al-Hamadi (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Derby
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
45.34% ( 1.56)	27.6% ( -0.41)	27.06% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.91% (

0.88)

59.09% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.46% (

0.67)

79.54% (

-0.67)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

1.21)

26.01% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

1.6)

61.04% (

-1.6)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.2% (

-0.46)

37.8% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.43% (

-0.45)

74.58% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Derby County 45.34%

Stoke City 27.06%

Draw 27.6%

Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.34%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.06%