Championship Gameweek 45
Hull City
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT KCOM Stadium
Derby
  • Alfie Jones 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sondre Langas 25'
  • yellowcard Harrison Armegang 39'
  • goal Nat Phillips 84'

Hull City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Hull City 2 - 1 Preston
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
West Brom 1 - 3 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result

Hull City 48.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 25.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Derby County 25.81% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.27% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.2% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 51.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 26.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.72% ▲ (+0.06)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5 78.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 54.17% ▲ (+0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 65.12% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.88% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 28.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 71.62% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Hull City 48.76%
Draw 25.42%
Derby County 25.81%
Hull City
1-0 @ 11.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.42%
Derby County
0-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.81%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 12
Derby
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Hull City
  • Dajaune Brown 66' goal
  • Craig Forsyth 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Xavier Simons 57'
  • yellowcard Xavier Simons 72'
  • yellowcard Charlie Hughes 77'
  • yellowcard Mason Burstow 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 31
Derby
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Hull City
  • Craig Forsyth 19' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 38' goal
  • Festy Ebosele 47' goal
  • Krystian Bielik 53' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Greg Docherty 17'
  • yellowcard Jacob Greaves 21'
  • goal Craig Forsyth 65' (OG)
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 89'
Championship Gameweek 3
Hull City
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT KCOM Stadium
Derby
  • Alfie Jones 71' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Baldock 57'
  • yellowcard Ravel Morrison 79'
  • yellowcard Kelle Roos 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jack Stretton 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 28
Derby
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hull City
  • Matt Clarke 64' goal
  • Jason Knight 78' yellowcard
  • Andre Wisdom 81' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 86' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 14
Hull City
Oct 26, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Derby
  • Jackson Irvine 11' yellowcard
  • Josh Bowler 44' yellowcard
  • Jordy de Wijs 45' yellowcard
  • Callum Elder 63' yellowcard
  • Jarrod Bowen 74' goal
  • Jarrod Bowen 80' goal
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 53'
Championship Gameweek 31
Derby
Feb 9, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Hull City
  • Martyn Waghorn 41' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 71' goal
  • Harry Wilson 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Ridgewell 90'

Form Data

Hull City 2 - 1 Preston
Swansea 1 - 0 Hull City
Hull City 1 - 1 Coventry
Watford 1 - 0 Hull City
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Hull City
Hull City 0 - 1 Luton
West Brom 1 - 3 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Luton
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Derby
Derby 0 - 0 Burnley
Swansea 1 - 0 Derby
Derby 2 - 0 Preston