Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.