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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sheffield United logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Sheff Utd


Pearson (22'), Wilmot (56'), Johansson (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCallum (38'), Brookes (87')
Campbell (25'), McCallum (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 6-0 Stoke
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSheffield United
29.67% (0.221 0.22)26% (0.099 0.1)44.33% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 52.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.298 -0.3)51.83% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.259 -0.26)73.59% (0.259 0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)23.29% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78% (-0.41 -0.41)57.22% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 29.67%
    Sheffield United 44.32%
    Draw 25.99%
Stoke CityDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.32%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sheff Utd

Stoke City
34.3%
Draw
23.4%
Sheffield United
42.3%
137
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sheff Utd
2-0
Stoke
Moore (14'), Campbell (50')
Ahmedhodzic (36'), Campbell (45+2'), Souza (47'), Brewster (75')

Gibson (45'), Koumas (82')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Sheff Utd
3-1
Stoke
Ndiaye (9'), Bogle (33', 90')
Powell (45+1')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Stoke
3-1
Sheff Utd
Wilmot (4'), Jagielka (45+4'), Delap (90+1')
Brewster (28')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-0
Sheff Utd
Egan (78' og.)
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sheff Utd
2-1
Stoke
Mousset (80'), McGoldrick (83')
Brown (55')
Smith (27'), Brown (56')