Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 0
Burnley

Langas (33'), Adams (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Derby
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Burnley
27.99% ( -0.14)	29.55% ( -0.51)	42.45% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 41.55% (

1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.03% (

1.44)

64.97% (

-1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.13% (

0.99)

83.87% (

-1)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.68% (

0.71)

40.31% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06% (

0.64)

76.93% (

-0.64)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

1.1)

30.38% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

1.3)

66.58% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

Derby County 27.99%

Burnley 42.45%

Draw 29.54%

Derby County	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.35% Total : 27.99%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.54%	0-1 @ 14.59% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.45%