Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.