Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.