Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK

Broadfield Stadium

Brighton
1 - 1
Newcastle

Minteh (28')
Wieffer (32'), Welbeck (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Isak (89' pen.)
Willock (72')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Ipswich
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
45.58% ( 0.69)	23.12% ( 0.28)	31.3% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 62.99% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.83% (

-1.84)

38.16% (

1.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.56% (

-1.98)

60.44% (

1.98)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

-0.46)

17.15% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.62% (

-0.81)

47.38% (

0.81)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

-1.45)

23.97% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

-2.12)

58.21% (

2.11)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.58%

Newcastle United 31.3%

Draw 23.12%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.15% Total : 45.58%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.3%