Premier League Gameweek 35
Brighton
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
Newcastle
  • Yankuba Minteh 28' goal
  • Mats Wieffer 32' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 72'
  • goal Alexander Isak 89'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Brighton 3 - 2 West Ham
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.58% ▲ (+0.69)
Draw 23.12% ▲ (+0.29)
Newcastle United 31.3% ▼ (-0.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.99% ▼ (-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.83% ▼ (-1.84)
Under 2.5 38.16% ▲ (+1.84)
Over 3.5 39.56% ▼ (-1.99)
Under 3.5 60.44% ▲ (+1.99)
Over 4.5 21.79% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 4.5 78.21% ▲ (+1.61)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 82.85% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 0.5 17.15% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 1.5 52.62% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 1.5 47.38% ▲ (+0.81)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 76.02% ▼ (-1.46)
Under 0.5 23.97% ▲ (+1.45)
Over 1.5 41.78% ▼ (-2.12)
Under 1.5 58.21% ▲ (+2.12)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.58%
Draw 23.12%
Newcastle United 31.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.52)
2-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 45.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.12%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.13)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.3%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Newcastle
Mar 2, 2025 1.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
ET St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Alexander Isak 22' goal
  • Joelinton 36' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 29'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 35'
  • goal Yankuba Minteh 44'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 45'+2'
  • redcard Tariq Lamptey 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 92'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 114'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Newcastle
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Dan Burn 10' yellowcard
  • Dan Burn 10' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 37' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 37' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Welbeck 35'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 35'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 71'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Newcastle
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Sean Longstaff 45'+5' goal
  • Lewis Hall 79' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 88' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Veltman 18'
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Julio Enciso 54'
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 77'
  • yellowcard Benicio Baker-Boatiey 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Brighton
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Newcastle
  • Evan Ferguson 27' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 65' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 70' goal
  • Tariq Lamptey 83' yellowcard
  • James Milner 86' yellowcard
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 23'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 43'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 68'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 76'
  • goal Callum Wilson 90'+2'
Club Friendlies 1
Brighton
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Danny Welbeck 49' goal
  • goal Elliot Anderson 86'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 90'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Newcastle
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brighton
  • Deniz Undav 22' goal
  • Dan Burn 45'+4' goal
  • Callum Wilson 89' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+1' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 51'

Form Data

Brighton 3 - 2 West Ham
Brentford 4 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 2 Leicester
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Brighton 0 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Newcastle 3 - 0 Ipswich
Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Newcastle 4 - 1 Man Utd
Leicester 0 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 1 Brentford

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
News