Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
4 - 2
Brighton

Mbeumo (9', 48'), Wissa (58'), Norgaard (90+5')
Kayode (18'), Jensen (90+1'), Collins (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Welbeck (45+3'), Mitoma (81')
Welbeck (40'), Paul van Hecke (90+7'), Estupinan (90+4')
Pedro (61')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, April 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
30.15% ( -1.08)	21.93% ( -0.32)	47.92% ( 1.4)

Both teams to score 66.78% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.09% (

0.96)

32.91% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.38% (

1.09)

54.62% (

-1.09)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.15)

22.07% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

-0.22)

55.41% (

0.22)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.7% (

0.84)

14.3% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.88% (

1.61)

42.12% (

-1.61)

Score Analysis

Brentford 30.15%

Brighton & Hove Albion 47.92%

Draw 21.93%

Brentford	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 30.15%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.93%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.13) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.1) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.92%