Primeira Liga
Gameweek
7
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-
Gabri Martinez
31'
-
Ismael Gharbi
38'
-
Ricardo Horta
66'
-
Bruma
90'+3'
-
Marios Vrousai
60'
Braga vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Braga
70.62%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
17.49%
▼
(-0.05)
Rio Ave
11.9%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
51.28%
Goals
Over 2.5
61.27%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
38.73%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
38.96%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
61.04%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
21.31%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
78.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
90.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
9.79%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
67.47%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
32.53%
▼
(-0.10)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5
56.84%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
43.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
20.58%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
79.43%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Braga
70.61%
Draw
17.49%
Rio Ave
11.9%
Braga
2-0
@
11.4%
1-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 70.61%
1-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 70.61%
Draw
1-1
@
8.25%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 17.49%
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 17.49%
Rio Ave
0-1
@
3.55%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.9%
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.9%
