Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 64.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.24%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.