Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Steve Mounie
50'
-
Steve Mounie
54'
-
Junior Olaitan
62'
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Faisal Al Badri
9'
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Suhaib Shafshuf
13'
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Osama Mukhtar Al Shremi
45'+3'
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Faisal Al Badri
54'
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Salem Abo Shaalah
54'
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Magdy Arteeba
60'
Benin vs Libya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benin in this match.
Result
Benin
35.3%
▼
(-0.45)
Draw
27.95%
▲
(+0.47)
Libya
36.75%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
47.93%
▼
(-1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.92%
▼
(-1.79)
Under 2.5
58.08%
▲
(+1.79)
Over 3.5
21.25%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 3.5
78.75%
▲
(+1.43)
Over 4.5
9.06%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 4.5
90.94%
▲
(+0.86)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5
68.78%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 0.5
31.22%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 1.5
32.43%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 1.5
67.56%
▲
(+1.39)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5
69.69%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 0.5
30.31%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 1.5
33.51%
▼
(-1.09)
Under 1.5
66.49%
▲
(+1.08)
Score analysis
Benin
35.3%
Draw
27.94%
Libya
36.74%
Benin
1-0
@
11.01%
▲
(+0.40)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.3%
2-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.3%
Draw
1-1
@
13.14%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.63)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
0-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.63)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
Libya
0-1
@
11.29%
▲
(+0.48)
1-2 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.74%
1-2 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.74%