Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.84%) and 0-3 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.