/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flevlog_1.png)
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Aleix Garcia
8'
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Victor Boniface
51'
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Jeremie Frimpong
74'
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Alvaro Morata
84'
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Samuel Chukwueze
90'+4'
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Fikayo Tomori
90'+5'
Bayer Leverkusen vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
AC Milan Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 56.65%
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.11%
0-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 22.24%