Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.