/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
-
Raphinha
1'
-
Robert Lewandowski
36'
-
Raphinha
45'
-
Raphinha
56'
-
Harry Kane
18'
-
Joshua Kimmich
27'
-
Leon Goretzka
90'
Barcelona vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fraphinha.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fjamal-musiala.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Frobert-lewandowski.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fjamal-musiala_1.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fronald-araujo.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.35%) and 0-1 (4.87%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Barcelona
35.19%
▼
(-3.08)
Draw
21.54%
▲
(+0.57)
Bayern Munich
43.26%
▲
(+2.51)
Both Teams to Score:
70.7%
▼
(-2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.25%
▼
(-3.44)
Under 2.5
28.75%
▲
(+3.44)
Over 3.5
50.33%
▼
(-4.35)
Under 3.5
49.67%
▲
(+4.35)
Over 4.5
31.04%
▼
(-4.13)
Under 4.5
68.96%
▲
(+4.12)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
82.5%
▼
(-2.82)
Under 0.5
17.5%
▲
(+2.82)
Over 1.5
52%
▼
(-5.15)
Under 1.5
48%
▲
(+5.14)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
85.69%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 0.5
14.3%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
57.88%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 1.5
42.12%
▲
(+1.02)
Score analysis
Barcelona
35.19%
Draw
21.54%
Bayern Munich
43.26%
Barcelona
2-1
@
7.39%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.50)
2-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.40)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.43)
4-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 35.19%
1-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.50)
2-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.40)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.43)
4-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 35.19%
Draw
1-1
@
8.48%
▲
(+0.79)
2-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.39)
0-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.48)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.54%
2-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.39)
0-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.48)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.54%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
8.25%
▲
(+0.63)
1-3 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.32)
0-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.86)
0-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.76)
2-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.45)
1-4 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.20)
3-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.22)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.89)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 43.26%
1-3 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.32)
0-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.86)
0-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.76)
2-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.45)
1-4 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.20)
3-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.22)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.89)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 43.26%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
David Alaba
7'
-
Luis Suarez
54'
-
Luis Suarez
57'
-
Jordi Alba
60'
-
Arturo Vidal
90'+2'
-
Thomas Muller
4'
-
Ivan Perisic
22'
-
Serge Gnabry
28'
-
Thomas Muller
31'
-
Jerome Boateng
43'
-
Alphonso Davies
52'
-
Joshua Kimmich
63'
-
Robert Lewandowski
82'
-
Philippe Coutinho
85'
-
Joshua Kimmich
85'
-
Philippe Coutinho
89'
Form Data
Build-up
Head to head
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fbarcelona-bayern-munich.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Ffrenkie-de-jong.jpg)