Champions League
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 20' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 35' goal
  • Riccardo Calafiori 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 76'

Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2024 8.00pm
Atalanta 0 - 0 Arsenal

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 18, 2024 8.00pm
PSG 1 - 0 Girona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 46.87% (-0.06)
Draw 23.59% (+0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain 29.54% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.22% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.64% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 41.36% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 36.24% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 63.75% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 19.2% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.79% (+0.04)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 82.11% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 17.89% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 51.33% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 48.67% (+0.08)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 73.34%
Under 0.5 26.66%
Over 1.5 38.1% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.9% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Arsenal 46.87%
Draw 23.58%
Paris Saint-Germain 29.54%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.58%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.3% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.54%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 28, 2018 12.35pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT National Stadium
  • Mesut Ozil 13' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 67' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 71' goal
  • Rob Holding 87' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 94' goal
  • yellowcard Lassana Diarra 51'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 60'
Champions League
Nov 23, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Francois Coquelin 34' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 45' goal
  • Laurent Koscielny 53' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 59' goal
  • goal Edinson Cavani 18'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 31'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 55'
  • goal Alex Iwobi 77' (OG)
Champions League
Sep 13, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edinson Cavani 1' goal
  • Marco Verratti 8' yellowcard
  • Thiago Motta 92' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 94' redcard
  • yellowcard Francois Coquelin 24'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 77'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 88'
  • redcard Olivier Giroud 94'

Build-up

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