Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 70.85%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.