Premier League Gameweek 22
Arsenal
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Mikel Arteta 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 35' goal
  • Kai Havertz 55' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 67' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 20'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 60'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 63'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 68'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 78'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 90'+5'

Arsenal vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2025 8.00pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Spurs
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
Everton 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Arsenal 71.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 17.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Aston Villa 11.55% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.06% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.56% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 38.43% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 39.27% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 3.5 60.72% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 21.56% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 78.44% ▲ (+0.22)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 90.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 9.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 67.99% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 32.01% ▲ (+0.17)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 56.46% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 20.26% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 79.74% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Arsenal 71.22%
Draw 17.23%
Aston Villa 11.55%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 71.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.23%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 11.55%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Arsenal
  • Amadou Onana 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 57'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 67'
  • goal Thomas Partey 77'
  • yellowcard Martin Odegaard 89'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Arsenal
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Ben White 36' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 14'
  • goal Leon Bailey 84'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 87'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Arsenal
  • John McGinn 7' goal
  • Lucas Digne 53' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 62' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 28'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 77'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Ollie Watkins 5' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 31' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 16'
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 61'
  • goal Emiliano Martinez 90'+3' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Arsenal
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Gabriel Jesus 30' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 77' goal
  • goal Douglas Luiz 74'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Jacob Ramsey 15' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 33' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 34' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 30'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Cedric Soares 57'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 65'

Form Data

Arsenal 2 - 1 Spurs
Arsenal 1 - 1 Man Utd
Arsenal 0 - 2 Newcastle
Brighton 1 - 1 Arsenal
Brentford 1 - 3 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 0 Ipswich
Everton 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 West Ham
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Leicester
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brighton
Newcastle 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups