Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.