/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
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Kenneth Taylor
9'
-
Bertrand Traore
24'
-
Youri Baas
58'
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Devyne Rensch
71'
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Chuba Akpom
87'
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Kristoffer Peterson
35'
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Rodrigo Guth
45'+1'
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
63.59%
▲
(+0.23)
Draw
20.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Fortuna Sittard
16.11%
▼
(-0.26)
Both Teams to Score:
53.11%
▼
(-0.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.84%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 2.5
42.16%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 3.5
35.44%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 3.5
64.56%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 4.5
18.6%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 4.5
81.4%
▲
(+0.48)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
87.4%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
12.6%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
61.3%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
38.7%
▲
(+0.27)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
60.77%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 0.5
39.23%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 1.5
24.06%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 1.5
75.94%
▲
(+0.67)
Score analysis
Ajax
63.58%
Draw
20.3%
Fortuna Sittard
16.11%
Ajax
2-0
@
10.6%
▲
(+0.19)
1-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.58%
1-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.58%
Draw
1-1
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1% ▲ (+98.96)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.3%
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1% ▲ (+98.96)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.3%
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
@
4.63%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%
1-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%