/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
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Jordan Henderson
28'
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Wout Weghorst
90'
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Sem Steijn
40'
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Arno Verschueren
68'
Ajax vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F20%2Fajax_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 3-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
54.43%
▲
(+2.21)
Draw
20.96%
▼
(-0.60)
FC Twente
24.61%
▼
(-1.61)
Both Teams to Score:
65.35%
▲
(+0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.29%
▲
(+1.35)
Under 2.5
32.7%
▼
(-1.35)
Over 3.5
45.62%
▲
(+1.55)
Under 3.5
54.38%
▼
(-1.55)
Over 4.5
26.83%
▲
(+1.33)
Under 4.5
73.17%
▼
(-1.33)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
87.78%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 0.5
12.22%
▼
(-1.12)
Over 1.5
62.09%
▲
(+2.29)
Under 1.5
37.9%
▼
(-2.29)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
74.45%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
25.55%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
39.58%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 1.5
60.41%
▲
(+0.57)
Score analysis
Ajax
54.43%
Draw
20.96%
FC Twente
24.61%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.41%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.29)
1-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.29)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.24)
4-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.18)
5-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.18)
4-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-91.74)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.43%
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.29)
1-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.29)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.24)
4-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.18)
5-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.18)
4-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-91.74)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.43%
Draw
1-1
@
8.95%
▼
(-0.37)
2-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.96%
2-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.96%
FC Twente
1-2
@
6.11%
▼
(-0.33)
0-1 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 24.61%