League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Joe Lewis 21' goal
  • Alistair Smith 35' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Palmer 70'

AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Morecambe 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mathew Stevens

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Notts County 1 - 2 Barrow
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 46.6% (-0.05)
Draw 25.78% (+0.02)
Notts County 27.63% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.65% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.99% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 52.01% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.26% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.74% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.17% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.84% (+0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 77.7% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 22.3% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 44.23% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 55.77% (+0.05)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 66.48% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.52% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.84% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 46.59%
Draw 25.78%
Notts County 27.63%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 46.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 25.78%
Notts County
0-1 @ 8.17% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 27.63%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Lewis Macarai 13' yellowcard
  • Matthew Platt 64' yellowcard
  • Matthew Platt 67' goal
  • George Abbott 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riley Harbottle 9'
  • yellowcard James Furlong 90'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Jim O'Brien 24' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cameron 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 15'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 20'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 33'
  • yellowcard Omar Bugiel 55'
  • goal Connell Rawlinson 80' (OG)
  • goal Kofi Balmer 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Bass 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Joe Lewis 22' yellowcard
  • Jake Reeves 29' goal
  • Jack Currie 38' yellowcard
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 41' goal
  • Jake Reeves 86' goal
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jodi Jones 45'+4'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 62'
  • goal Aaron Nemane 67'
League Two
Jan 23, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Robert Milsom 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Elliott 9'
  • yellowcard Sean Rigg 59'
  • goal Andy Barcham 83'
League Two
Sep 19, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jake Reeves 27' yellowcard
  • Barry Fuller 79' yellowcard
  • Dannie Bulman 85' goal
  • George Francomb 88' yellowcard
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mawouna Amevor 11'
  • goal Haydn Hollis 16'
  • yellowcard Gill Swerts 45'
  • yellowcard Genaro Snijders 68'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 82'