League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Sonny Aljofree 69' goal
  • Donald Love 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Whelan 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 90'+4'

Accrington Stanley vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Salford City 1 - 2 Accrington
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ben Woods

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Carlisle 3 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Accrington Stanley 33.89% (-0.02)
Draw 27.16% (+0.64)
Carlisle United 38.96% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19% (-2.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.82% (-2.53)
Under 2.5 55.18% (+2.54)
Over 3.5 23.58% (-2.13)
Under 3.5 76.42% (+2.13)
Over 4.5 10.47% (-1.34)
Under 4.5 89.53% (+1.34)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 69.32% (-1.28)
Under 0.5 30.68% (+1.28)
Over 1.5 33.07% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 66.93% (+1.54)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 72.4% (-1.52)
Under 0.5 27.6% (+1.53)
Over 1.5 36.87% (-2.01)
Under 1.5 63.13% (+2.01)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 33.88%
Draw 27.16%
Carlisle United 38.96%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10% (+0.62)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 5.91% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 8.47% (+0.80)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.30)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.16%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 10.9% (+0.60)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.02% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.23)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 38.96%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Kadeem Harris 11' goal
  • Dominic Sadi 41' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 49' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 50' yellowcard
  • Luke Armstrong 54' goal
  • Gabriel Breeze 81' yellowcard
  • Jordan Jones 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Farrend Rawson 29'
  • yellowcard Nelson Khumbeni 58'
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 66'
  • yellowcard Tyler Walton 71'
  • goal Tyler Walton 73'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 74'
EFL Trophy
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Brad Hills 36' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 52' yellowcard
  • Dan Martin 79' yellowcard
  • Corey Whelan 86' goal
  • Rosaire Longelo-Mbule 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 20'
  • yellowcard Fin Back 39'
  • yellowcard Terry Ablade 54'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 89'
League Two
Dec 26, 2017 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jamie Devitt 11' goal
  • Shaun Miller 78' goal
  • Danny Grainger 83' goal
  • goal Billy Kee 47'
  • yellowcard Billy Kee 65'
League Two
Sep 9, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Billy Kee 17' goal
  • Sean McConville 43' goal
  • Sean McConville 57' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Miller 42'
League Two
Jan 21, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matty Pearson 12' redcard
  • Shay McCartan 21' goal
  • Billy Kee 56' yellowcard
  • Sean McConville 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gary Liddle 18'
  • goal Omar Beckles 20' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michael Raynes 30'
League Two
Sep 3, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Joyce 59' yellowcard
  • Nicky Adams 65' goal
  • Tom Miller 80' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Kee 58'
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 60'
  • yellowcard Sean McConville 72'