League One Gameweek 15
Nov 14, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 6 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Wycombe 2 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Finn Delap

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw has a probability of 23.86% and a win for Burton Albion has a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Burton Albion win it is 0-1 (5.74%).

Result

MK Dons 58.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 23.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Burton Albion 17.86% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.29% ▲ (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.85% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 25.15% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 50.59% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 49.41% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 28.42% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 71.58% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 4.5 16.98% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 83.02% ▼ (-0.17)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 42.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 39.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Burton Albion 17.73% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 61.85% ▲ (+0.13)
No Goal 7.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Burton Albion 31.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.85% ▼ (-0.67)
Equal 8 11.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 25.03% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 9 51.92% ▼ (-0.61)
Equal 9 11.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 36.15% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 10.5 40.26% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 10.5 59.74% ▲ (+0.47)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 52.87% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 47.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 26.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 73.58% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 10.87% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 89.13% ▼ (-0.07)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 52.76% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 47.24% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 1.5 20.4% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 79.6% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 5.96% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 94.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

MK Dons 58.24%
Draw 23.87%
Burton Albion 17.87%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.29% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 10% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 58.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.87%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 17.87%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Bradley Johnson 84' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 29'
League One Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Hughes 74' yellowcard
  • Louis Moult 89' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Twine 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Kasumu 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Max Watters 65' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 14'
  • yellowcard Kane Hemmings 49'
  • yellowcard Michael Mancienne 74'
EFL Trophy
Aug 31, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Matt O'Riley 67' goal
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Bird 58'
  • goal Harry Darling 63'
  • yellowcard Zak Jules 66'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Sean Clare 41' yellowcard
  • Hayden Carter 58' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 68' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 74' goal
  • goal Scott Fraser 15'
  • yellowcard Josh McEachran 57'
  • goal Warren O'Hora 61'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 90'+3'