League One Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough United vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 3 Peterborough
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Harry Leonard

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Doncaster 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Finn Delap

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 30.22% and a draw has a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Peterborough United 46.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 23.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Burton Albion 30.22% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 21.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 55.84%
Under 2.5 44.16%
Over 3.5 33.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.05% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Peterborough United 40.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 39.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Burton Albion 20.27% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Peterborough United 58.49% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Burton Albion 35.78% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 66.54% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 8 10.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 23.03% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 55.13% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 33.46% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 10.5 43.72% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 56.28% ▼ (-0.18)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 1.5 46.29% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 53.71% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 22.1% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 8.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.28% ▼ (-0.07)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 33.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.57% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.38% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 46.18%
Draw 23.63%
Burton Albion 30.23%
Peterborough United
1-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 46.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.63%
Burton Albion
1-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 30.23%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 19, 2026 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • B. Shofowoke 58' yellowcard
  • Harry Leonard 60' goal
  • Pemi Aderoju 76' yellowcard
  • Brandon Khela 83' yellowcard
  • Declan Frith 83' yellowcard
  • goal C. Webster 44'
  • yellowcard J. McKiernan 71'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 78'
  • yellowcard T. Vancooten 78'
  • yellowcard Fábio André Tavares Desidério 78'
League One
Oct 18, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Kegs Chauke 6' goal
  • Rumarn Burrell 26' goal
  • Max Crocombe 77' yellowcard
  • Dylan Willis 78' yellowcard
  • Tomas Kalinauskas 87' yellowcard
  • goal Archie Collins 42'
  • goal Emmanuel Fernandez 77'
  • yellowcard Christopher Conn 80'
League One Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • goal Mason Bennett 64'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Deji Oshilaja 46' yellowcard
  • Ademola Ola-Adebomi 70' goal
  • Tom Hamer 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ricky Jade-Jones 56'
  • yellowcard Jadel Katongo 61'
  • goal Josh Knight 88'
  • goal Jonson Clarke-Harris 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Joel Randall 6' goal
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 44' goal
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 52' yellowcard
  • Cole Stockton 61' goal
  • Kwame Poku 66' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 9'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 37'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 54'