EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Nov 10, 2026 7.00pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
Grimsby Town 0 - 0 Burton Albion

Notts County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.00pm
Notts County 5 - 1 Forest U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 34.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Notts County win is 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.45%).

Result

Burton Albion 41.08% ▲ (+1.58)
Draw 24.31% ▼ (-1.25)
Notts County 34.61% ▼ (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.05% ▲ (+2.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.39% ▲ (+2.65)
Under 1.5 22.61% ▼ (-2.65)
Over 2.5 54.22% ▲ (+4.02)
Under 2.5 45.78% ▼ (-4.02)
Over 3.5 32.01% ▲ (+3.93)
Under 3.5 67.99% ▼ (-3.94)
Over 4.5 18.62% ▲ (+2.81)
Under 4.5 81.38% ▼ (-2.81)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 30.94% ▲ (+1.79)
Draw 42.77% ▲ (+0.22)
Notts County 26.3% ▼ (-1.99)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 50.7% ▲ (+2.93)
No Goal 6% ▼ (-1.17)
Notts County 43.3% ▼ (-1.75)

Corners

Over 8 61.38% ▼ (-0.88)
Equal 8 11.21% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 8 27.41% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 9 49.62% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.76% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 9 38.62% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 10.5 38.33% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 10.5 61.67% ▼ (-0.47)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 41.79% ▲ (+3.50)
Under 1.5 58.21% ▼ (-3.50)
Over 2.5 18.72% ▲ (+2.37)
Under 2.5 81.28% ▼ (-2.38)
Over 3.5 6.92% ▲ (+1.39)
Under 3.5 93.08% ▼ (-1.40)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 68.51% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 31.49% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 36.64% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 1.5 63.36% ▼ (-1.44)
Over 2.5 14.74% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 2.5 85.26% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 3.5 4.9% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 3.5 95.1% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 41.08%
Draw 24.3%
Notts County 34.61%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.78)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.33)
2-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 6.89% ▲ (+1.46)
Total : 41.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.83)
0-0 @ 6% ▼ (-1.17)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.63)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 24.3%
Notts County
0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.71)
1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.40)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.51)
Total : 34.61%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Rory Finneran 36' yellowcard
  • Luka Smyth 78' goal
  • Luka Smyth 84' goal
  • goal Finn Delap 22'
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 34'
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 51'
  • yellowcard Sulyman Krubally 52'
  • yellowcard George Evans 65'
  • redcard Curtis Tilt 83'
EFL Trophy
Sep 24, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Alejandro Bran 18' yellowcard
  • Ben Whitfield 87' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kellan Gordon 29'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 39'
  • goal Sam Austin 54'
  • yellowcard Madou Cisse 58'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Sep 3, 2013 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum McGregor 39' goal
League Two
Dec 28, 2009 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Steve Kabba 38' goal
  • Artur Krysiak 52' yellowcard
  • Shaun Harrad 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ricky Ravenhill 13'
  • goal Lee Hughes 45'
  • goal Lee Hughes 48'
  • goal Lee Hughes 53'
  • yellowcard Ricky Ravenhill 55'
  • yellowcard Lee Hughes 72'
League Two
Sep 5, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Davies 28' yellowcard
  • Karl Hawley 54' goal
  • Michael Edwards 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guy Branston 36'
  • yellowcard Michael Simpson 75'