League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Waterford
Sep 14, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Derry
  • Evan McLaughlin 45' goal
  • Padraig Amond 57' goal
  • Sam Glenfield 73' yellowcard
  • goal Adam O'Reilly 9'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 11'
  • yellowcard James Clarke 45'
  • yellowcard 45'
  • goal Michael Duffy 51'
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 64'
  • yellowcard Darragh Burns 74'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 88'
  • yellowcard 88'

Waterford United vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford 1 - 1 Dundalk
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Padraig Amond

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Waterford United 38.61% ▼ (-5.99)
Draw 25.82% ▲ (+0.58)
Derry City 35.57% ▲ (+5.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% ▲ (+0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.23% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 25.77% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 49.27% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 2.5 50.68% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 3.5 27.79% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 3.5 72.21% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 4.5 15.26% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 4.5 84.74% ▲ (+0.51)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 30.61% ▼ (-1.43)
Draw 43.19% ▼ (-0.86)
Derry City 26.2% ▲ (+2.28)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 49.99% ▼ (-1.98)
No Goal 6.98% ▲ (+0.14)
Derry City 43.03% ▲ (+1.86)

Corners

Over 8 63.86% ▲ (+1.71)
Equal 8 10.29% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 8 25.85% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 9 52.88% ▲ (+1.89)
Equal 9 10.98% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 9 36.14% ▼ (-1.71)
Over 10.5 42.09% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 10.5 57.91% ▼ (-1.93)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 37.59% ▼ (-4.66)
Under 1.5 62.41% ▲ (+4.66)
Over 2.5 14.73% ▼ (-3.45)
Under 2.5 85.27% ▲ (+3.46)
Over 3.5 4.81% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 3.5 95.19% ▲ (+1.54)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 69.53% ▲ (+4.16)
Under 0.5 30.47% ▼ (-4.17)
Over 1.5 35.57% ▲ (+4.02)
Under 1.5 64.43% ▼ (-4.02)
Over 2.5 13.48% ▲ (+2.23)
Under 2.5 86.52% ▼ (-2.22)
Over 3.5 4.16% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 95.84% ▼ (-0.75)

Score analysis

Waterford United 38.61%
Draw 25.82%
Derry City 35.57%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.92)
2-1 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.66)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-1.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.79)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.84)
Other @ 4.8% ▼ (-1.54)
Total : 38.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% ▲ (+0.58)
0-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.82%
Derry City
0-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+1.02)
1-2 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.87)
0-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+1.25)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.55)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.57)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.43)
Other @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.76)
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Derry
Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
Waterford
  • Conor Barr 13' yellowcard
  • Patrick McClean 67' yellowcard
  • Tiernan Lynch 70' yellowcard
  • Rob Slevin 82' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 85' goal
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 14'
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 69'
  • yellowcard Benny Couto 74'
  • yellowcard Benny Couto 75'
  • goal Padraig Amond 77'
  • goal Jørgen Voilås 90'+2'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
Waterford
May 15, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Derry
  • Dean McMenamy 25' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 59' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 81' goal
  • Jørgen Voilås 86' yellowcard
  • Cian Barrett 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kévin Santos 19'
  • yellowcard Joshua Thomas 60'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 71'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 72'
  • yellowcard D. Markey 83'
  • yellowcard H. Rylah 83'
  • goal H. Rylah 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Derry
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
Waterford
  • Adam O'Reilly 40' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 54' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 55' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 58' goal
  • James Olayinka 72' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 72' yellowcard
  • Alex Bannon 72' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 75' goal
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 90'+1' goal
  • Michael Duffy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jørgen Voilås 19'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 51'
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 66'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 76'
  • yellowcard Jordan Faria 79'
League of Ireland Premier
Waterford
Oct 17, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Derry
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Derry
Jul 4, 2025 7.45pm
7
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Waterford
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Waterford
Apr 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Derry
  • Ryan Burke 18' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 40' goal
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 65' goal
  • Kyle White 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 55'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 56'
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 56'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 64'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 64'
  • goal Liam Boyce 90'+4'

Form Data

Waterford 1 - 1 Dundalk
St Patrick's 0 - 2 Waterford
Sligo 0 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 3 - 1 Bohemians
Waterford 1 - 0 Shelbourne
Galway United 0 - 0 Waterford
Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry
Derry 3 - 3 Shamrock
Bohemians 5 - 3 Derry
Derry 2 - 0 Sligo
St Patrick's 1 - 1 Derry
Derry 0 - 1 Rijeka