Sep 14, 2026 7.45pm

Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford United vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions

W
D
W
W
D
D

League of Ireland Premier

W
D
W
W
D
D

Last game

Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm

St Patrick's 0 - 2 Waterford

Goals scored

39

Top scorer

Tommy Lonergan

Derry City

All competitions

D
L
W
D
L
L

League of Ireland Premier

D
L
W
D
L
W

Last game

Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm

Derry 3 - 3 Shamrock

Goals scored

41

Top scorer

Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Waterford United win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Derry City has a probability of 30.16% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Derry City win is 0-1 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.11%).

Result

Waterford United 44.59%

Draw 25.25%

Derry City 30.16%

Both Teams to Score:

54.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.49%

Under 1.5 25.51%

Over 2.5 50.28%

Under 2.5 49.72%

Over 3.5 28.6%

Under 3.5 71.4%

Over 4.5 15.77%

Under 4.5 84.23%

First Half Winner

Waterford United 32.03%

Draw 44.05%

Derry City 23.92%

Team To Score First

Waterford United 51.97%

No Goal 6.85%

Derry City 41.18%

Corners

Over 8 62.16%

Equal 8 10.59%

Under 8 27.25%

Over 9 51%

Equal 9 11.16%

Under 9 37.84%

Over 10.5 40.17%

Under 10.5 59.83%

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 42.25%

Under 1.5 57.75%

Over 2.5 18.18%

Under 2.5 81.82%

Over 3.5 6.34%

Under 3.5 93.66%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 65.37%

Under 0.5 34.63%

Over 1.5 31.55%

Under 1.5 68.45%

Over 2.5 11.26%

Under 2.5 88.74%

Over 3.5 3.41%

Under 3.5 96.59%

Score analysis

Waterford United 44.59%

Draw 25.27%

Derry City 30.16%

Waterford United

1-0 @ 10.78%

2-1 @ 9.29%

2-0 @ 7.27%

3-1 @ 4.52%

3-0 @ 3.42%

3-2 @ 2.98%

Other @ 6.33%

Total : 44.59%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.11%

0-0 @ 6.85%

2-2 @ 5.38%

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 25.27%

Derry City

0-1 @ 7.9%

1-2 @ 7.12%

0-2 @ 4.81%

1-3 @ 2.95%

2-3 @ 2.13%

0-3 @ 1.85%

Other @ 3.4%

Total : 30.16%

Head to Head

Jul 3, 2026 7.45pm

2

4

HT : 0 1

FT Brandywell Stadium

Conor Barr 13'
Patrick McClean 67'
Tiernan Lynch 70'
Rob Slevin 82'
Adam O'Reilly 85'

Tommy Lonergan 14'
Tommy Lonergan 69'
Benny Couto 74'
Benny Couto 75'
Padraig Amond 77'
Jørgen Voilås 90'+2'

May 15, 2026 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Dean McMenamy 25'
Tommy Lonergan 59'
Kevin Long 81'
Jørgen Voilås 86'
Cian Barrett 90'+1'

Kévin Santos 19'
Joshua Thomas 60'
Cameron Dummigan 71'
Cameron Dummigan 72'
D. Markey 83'
H. Rylah 83'
H. Rylah 90'+4'

Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm

4

2

HT : 0 1

FT Brandywell Stadium

Adam O'Reilly 40'
Afolabi Akinyemi 54'
Afolabi Akinyemi 55'
Michael Duffy 58'
James Olayinka 72'
H. Rylah 72'
Alex Bannon 72'
Michael Duffy 75'
Afolabi Akinyemi 90'+1'
Michael Duffy 90'+4'

Jørgen Voilås 19'
Tommy Lonergan 51'
Dean McMenamy 66'
Conor Carty 76'
Jordan Faria 79'

Oct 17, 2025 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Jul 4, 2025 7.45pm

7

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 25, 2025 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Ryan Burke 18'
Darragh Leahy 40'
James Olayinka 59'
Padraig Amond 65'
Kyle White 85'

Adam O'Reilly 55'
Danny Mullen 56'
Liam Boyce 56'
Ciaron Harkin 64'
Ciaron Harkin 64'
Liam Boyce 90'+4'

Form Data

St Patrick's 0 - 2 Waterford

Sligo 0 - 0 Waterford

Waterford 3 - 1 Bohemians

Waterford 1 - 0 Shelbourne

Galway United 0 - 0 Waterford

Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's

Derry 3 - 3 Shamrock

Bohemians 5 - 3 Derry

Derry 2 - 0 Sligo

St Patrick's 1 - 1 Derry

Derry 0 - 1 Rijeka

Rijeka 1 - 0 Derry