League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Shelbourne
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
Derry
  • Odhran Casey 27' yellowcard
  • JJ Lunney 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 65'
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 69'
  • yellowcard Nick Twisk 83'
  • goal Michael Duffy 90'+3'

Shelbourne vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 8.00pm
Shamrock 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Harry Wood

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm
Derry 3 - 3 Shamrock
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Shelbourne 38.93% ▼ (-0.19)
Draw 24.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Derry City 36.4% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.26% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.26% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 22.74% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 53.65% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 46.35% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 32.07% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 67.93% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 4.5 17.92% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 4.5 82.08% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 31.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 42.44% ▼ (-0.18)
Derry City 26.39% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 52.39% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 5.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Derry City 41.63% ▲ (+0.31)

Corners

Over 8 65.56% ▼ (-0.19)
Equal 8 10.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 23.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 9 53.76% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 34.44% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 10.5 42.08% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 10.5 57.92% ▲ (+0.21)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 40.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 59.74% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 16.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 70.94% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 29.06% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 38.58% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 61.42% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 15.27% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 84.73% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 38.92%
Draw 24.63%
Derry City 36.42%
Shelbourne
1-0 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98%
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.63%
Derry City
1-2 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 36.42%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Derry
May 25, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
Shelbourne
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 46' yellowcard
  • James McClean 67' yellowcard
  • James McClean 68' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 60'
  • yellowcard Mipo Odubeko 60'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 88'
  • yellowcard Ellis Chapman 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Shelbourne
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
Derry
  • Will Jarvis 46' yellowcard
  • John Martin 50' goal
  • Ali Coote 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Freitas 75' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 76' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 81' yellowcard
  • goal B. Cotter 20'
  • yellowcard D. Markey 61'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 61'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 61'
  • yellowcard James Olayinka 61'
  • yellowcard Afolabi Akinyemi 67'
  • goal Afolabi Akinyemi 68'
  • yellowcard H. Rylah 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Derry
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Shelbourne
  • H. Rylah 10' goal
  • Kévin Santos 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 59' yellowcard
  • D. Markey 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Dummigan 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Henry-Francis 8'
  • yellowcard James Norris 31'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 34'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 72'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 72'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 84'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 84'
League of Ireland Premier
Derry
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier
Shelbourne
Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Derry
  • John Martin 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 33'
  • goal Michael Duffy 55'
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 68'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 84'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Derry
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Shelbourne
  • Michael Duffy 14' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 52'

Form Data

Shamrock 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Galway United 1 - 1 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 2 - 2 Ajax
Shelbourne 1 - 2 St Patrick's
Ajax 3 - 1 Shelbourne
Waterford 1 - 0 Shelbourne
Derry 3 - 3 Shamrock
Bohemians 5 - 3 Derry
Derry 2 - 0 Sligo
St Patrick's 1 - 1 Derry
Derry 0 - 1 Rijeka
Rijeka 1 - 0 Derry