League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 28
Sligo
Aug 21, 2026 8.00pm
The Showgrounds
Waterford

Sligo Rovers vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 2 - 0 Sligo
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Cian Kavanagh

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Waterford 3 - 1 Bohemians
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Waterford United has a probability of 29.97% and a draw has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Waterford United win is 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).

Result

Sligo Rovers 43.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 26.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Waterford United 29.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.89% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.63%
Under 1.5 20.37%
Over 2.5 57.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 42.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 20.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.91% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sligo Rovers 32.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.34%
Waterford United 26.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Sligo Rovers 53.39% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.84%
Waterford United 40.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 69.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.09%
Under 8 20.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 58.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 30.61% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 10.5 46.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 53.48% ▼ (-0.06)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 46.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.53%
Under 2.5 78.47%
Over 3.5 8.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 68%
Under 0.5 32%
Over 1.5 36.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sligo Rovers 43.51%
Draw 26.5%
Waterford United 29.97%
Sligo Rovers
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 7.08%
0-0 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 26.5%
Waterford United
1-2 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.97%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 20
Waterford
Jun 12, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Sligo
  • Padraig Amond 26' goal
  • John Mahon 35' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 67' goal
  • Padraig Amond 72' goal
  • Padraig Amond 74' goal
  • Kevin Long 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Nolan 52'
  • yellowcard Ollie Denham 66'
  • redcard Ollie Denham 69'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Sligo
Apr 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
Waterford
  • Archie Meekison 18' goal
  • Jordan Houston 57' goal
  • Shane Blaney 77' yellowcard
  • Alex Nolan 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 41'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houston 41'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 60'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 60'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 70'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Waterford
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Sligo
  • Padraig Amond 48' yellowcard
  • Conor Carty 72' yellowcard
  • Evan McLaughlin 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Faria 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gareth McElroy 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jad Hakiki 57'
  • yellowcard Daire Patton 58'
  • yellowcard Kyle McDonagh 81'
  • yellowcard Carl McHugh 81'
League of Ireland Premier
Waterford
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Sligo
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Sligo
Jun 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Waterford
  • Wilson Waweru 20' goal
  • 34' yellowcard
  • Darie Patton 34' yellowcard
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 49' yellowcard
  • Reece Hutchinson 90' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 51'
  • yellowcard Kyle White 63'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Waterford
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Sligo
  • Kyle White 53' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 59' yellowcard
  • Kyle White 60' redcard
  • Conan Noonan 76' yellowcard
  • Dean McMenamy 80' yellowcard
  • goal Gareth McElroy 8'
  • goal Owen Elding 11'
  • yellowcard Ronan Manning 44'
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 49'
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 62'
  • yellowcard Connor Malley 71'
  • yellowcard Gareth McElroy 76'
  • goal Francely Lomboto 88'
  • yellowcard John Mahon 90'+3'

Form Data

Derry 2 - 0 Sligo
Dundalk 1 - 1 Sligo
Sligo 2 - 2 Drogheda
Sligo 1 - 2 Coleraine
Galway United 3 - 2 Sligo
Sligo 1 - 2 Shamrock
Waterford 3 - 1 Bohemians
Waterford 1 - 0 Shelbourne
Galway United 0 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Derry 2 - 4 Waterford
Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford