League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Richmond Park

St Patrick's Athletic vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Drogheda 0 - 2 St Patrick's
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 8.00pm
Sligo 0 - 0 Waterford
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 71.87%. A draw has a probability of 17.24% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 10.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.41%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.51%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-2 (3.53%).

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 71.87%
Draw 17.24% (-0.04)
Waterford United 10.94% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.01% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.7% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 15.3% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 65.37% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 34.63% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 41.89% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 58.11% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 29.54% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 70.46% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

St Patrick's Athletic 51.06% (-0.18)
Draw 35.75% (+0.11)
Waterford United 13.18% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

St Patrick's Athletic 69.98% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.96% (+0.01)
Waterford United 26.06% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 73.71% (-0.10)
Equal 8 8.69% (+0.04)
Under 8 17.6% (+0.06)
Over 9 63.63% (-0.13)
Equal 9 10.08% (+0.05)
Under 9 26.29% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 52.89% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 47.11% (+0.18)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 70.12% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.88% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.65% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 56.35% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 22.88% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 77.12% (+0.08)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 45.27% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 54.73% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 17.42% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 82.58% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 4.98% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.23% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.77% (-0.03)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 71.87%
Draw 17.24%
Waterford United 10.93%
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0 @ 10.65% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.41% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.95% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.65% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% (+0.07)
Other @ 22.56% (-0.09)
Total : 71.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.24%
Waterford United
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.91% (+0.03)
Total : 10.93%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Jul 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • John Mahon 17' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 32' yellowcard
  • Conan Noonan 40' goal
  • Jordan Houston 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Turner 51'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond  61'
  • goal Aidan Keena 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 8, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Chris Forrester 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Chris Forrester 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Zach Elbouzedi 57' goal
  • Zach Elbouzedi 60' goal
  • R. Edmondson 77' goal
  • Jamie Lennon 78' yellowcard
  • Romal Palmer 79' yellowcard
  • Max Mata 79' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Anto Breslin 84' yellowcard
  • Sam Rooney 87' yellowcard
  • goal John Mahon 5'
  • yellowcard L. Heeney 46'
  • yellowcard Will Johnson 68'
  • yellowcard Jordan Faria 75'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Voilås 83'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Dean McMenamy 46' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 64' yellowcard
  • Conor Carty 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Jordan Houston 74' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Turner 28'
  • yellowcard Aidan Keena 57'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 64'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 65'
  • goal Luke Turner 69'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bartley 90'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 90'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 90'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bartley 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier
Oct 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2025 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Mason Melia 28' goal
  • Mason Melia 33' goal
  • Sean Hoare 38' yellowcard
  • Barry Baggley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 2'
  • yellowcard Rowan McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 51'
  • goal Conan Noonan 80'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 83'
  • yellowcard Ryan Burke 90'+6'