League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Waterford
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Dundalk

Waterford United vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
St Patrick's 0 - 2 Waterford
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Drogheda 2 - 3 Dundalk
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Gbemi Arubi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Waterford United win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Dundalk has a probability of 35.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Dundalk win is 1-2 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.13%).

Result

Waterford United 39.94% ▲ (+1.48)
Draw 24.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Dundalk 35.47% ▼ (-1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.41% ▲ (+1.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.03% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 1.5 19.97% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 2.5 58.23% ▲ (+2.48)
Under 2.5 41.77% ▼ (-2.48)
Over 3.5 35.39% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 64.61% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 4.5 20.67% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 79.33% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 28.03% ▲ (+0.71)
Draw 42.61% ▼ (-0.72)
Dundalk 29.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 49.71% ▲ (+2.17)
No Goal 5.12% ▼ (-0.35)
Dundalk 45.17% ▼ (-1.81)

Corners

Over 8 63.67% ▼ (-0.65)
Equal 8 9.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 26.38% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 9 53.06% ▼ (-0.58)
Equal 9 10.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 36.33% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 10.5 42.6% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 10.5 57.4% ▲ (+0.47)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 43.43% ▲ (+2.28)
Under 1.5 56.57% ▼ (-2.28)
Over 2.5 19.15% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 2.5 80.85% ▼ (-1.44)
Over 3.5 6.82% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 3.5 93.18% ▼ (-0.66)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 71.53% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 28.47% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 40.07% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 59.93% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 17.19% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 2.5 82.81% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 6.09% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 93.91% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Waterford United 39.94%
Draw 24.59%
Dundalk 35.46%
Waterford United
2-1 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.78)
1-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.61)
Other @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.63)
Total : 39.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.32)
2-2 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.41)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.35)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 24.59%
Dundalk
1-2 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.45)
0-1 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.76)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.54)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.47)
2-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.34)
Total : 35.46%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Dundalk
Jun 26, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Oriel Park
Waterford
  • Eoin Kenny 10' goal
  • Harry Groome 29' goal
  • Bobby Burns 62' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Luke Heeney 49'
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 63'
  • yellowcard Will Johnson 81'
  • goal John Mahon 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Waterford
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Dundalk
  • Tommy Lonergan 40' goal
  • Jordan Faria 58' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 60' goal
  • Sam Glenfield 72' yellowcard
  • Trae Coyle 87' yellowcard
  • Will Johnson 87' yellowcard
  • John Mahon 88' goal
  • goal Daryl Horgan 14'
  • goal Gbemi Arubi 35'
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 57'
  • yellowcard Ronan Teahan 57'
  • yellowcard Harvey Warren 66'
  • yellowcard D. McDaid 78'
  • goal Daryl Horgan 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Dundalk
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Oriel Park
Waterford
  • Ronan Teahan 30' goal
  • D. McDaid 42' goal
  • Aodh Dervin 74' yellowcard
  • Peter Cherrie 85' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 86' goal
  • Gbemi Arubi 88' yellowcard
  • Eoin Kenny 89' yellowcard
  • Eoin Kenny 90' goal
  • Eoin Kenny 90'+7' goal
  • Shane Tracey 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trae Coyle 46'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 46'
  • yellowcard Padraig Amond 61'
  • yellowcard Evan McLaughlin 61'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Waterford
Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Dundalk
  • Sam Bellis 5' goal
  • Padraig Amond 16' goal
  • Ben McCormack 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 30'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 53'
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 54'
  • goal James Gullan 76'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Dundalk
Jun 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oriel Park
Waterford
  • Cameron Elliott 76' yellowcard
  • Hayden Muller 87' yellowcard
  • Sean Keogh 88' yellowcard
  • goal Connor Parsons 19'
  • yellowcard Darragh Power 29'
  • yellowcard Connor Parsons 36'
  • goal Dean McMenamy 43'
  • yellowcard Ben McCormack 53'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Waterford
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Dundalk
  • Maleace Asamoah 2' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 44' goal
  • Christie Pattison 53' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 76' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 78' yellowcard
  • Kacper Radkowski 89' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Benson 22'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 35'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 36'
  • yellowcard John Mountney 54'

Form Data

St Patrick's 0 - 2 Waterford
Sligo 0 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 3 - 1 Bohemians
Waterford 1 - 0 Shelbourne
Galway United 0 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Drogheda 2 - 3 Dundalk
Dundalk 1 - 2 Galway United
Shamrock 3 - 2 Dundalk
Dundalk 1 - 1 Sligo
St Patrick's 1 - 1 Dundalk
Dundalk 1 - 2 Drogheda