League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 28
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Oriel Park

Dundalk vs Galway United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 8.00pm
Shamrock 3 - 2 Dundalk
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Gbemi Arubi

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 0 - 0 Drogheda
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kristopher Twardek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw has a probability of 17.72% and a win for Galway United has a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.15%) , while for a Galway United win it is 1-2 (3.09%).

Result

Dundalk 71.78% (+0.13)
Draw 17.72% (-0.07)
Galway United 10.52% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.47% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.95% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 17.05% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 63.02% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 36.98% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 40.82% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 59.18% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 28.85% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 71.15% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Dundalk 51.2% (+0.07)
Draw 36.74%
Galway United 12.06% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Dundalk 70.97% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.34% (-0.05)
Galway United 24.69% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 70.72% (+0.41)
Equal 8 8.95% (-0.08)
Under 8 20.32% (-0.34)
Over 9 60.63% (+0.45)
Equal 9 10.09% (-0.05)
Under 9 29.28% (-0.40)
Over 10.5 50.13% (+0.46)
Under 10.5 49.87% (-0.46)

Dundalk Goals

Over 1.5 68.38% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 31.62% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 42.86% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 57.14% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 22.53% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 77.47% (-0.10)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5 44.03% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 55.97% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 16.12% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 83.88% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.37% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.63% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 1.17% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.83% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Dundalk 71.78%
Draw 17.72%
Galway United 10.52%
Dundalk
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 9.01% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.02% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 22.31% (+0.09)
Total : 71.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.15% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.72%
Galway United
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.95% (+0.02)
Total : 10.52%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 20
Jun 12, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turner's Cross
  • Conor McCormack 51' yellowcard
  • John Caulfield 53' yellowcard
  • John Caulfield 54' yellowcard
  • Al-Amin Kazeem 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rob Cornwall 21'
  • yellowcard Ciarán Kilduff 57'
  • goal Tyreke Wilson 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Shane Tracey 68' yellowcard
  • Harry Groome 73' yellowcard
  • D. McDaid 73' yellowcard
  • D. McDaid 81' goal
  • D. McDaid 85' goal
  • yellowcard C. Barratt 55'
  • yellowcard S. Walsh 55'
  • yellowcard Axel Piesold 72'
  • yellowcard Francely Lomboto 87'
  • yellowcard Wasiri Williams 87'
  • goal S. Walsh 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Kristopher Twardek 41' yellowcard
  • S. Walsh 51' goal
  • Kristopher Twardek 61' goal
  • C. McCormack 82' yellowcard
  • Matthew Wolfe 82' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 90' yellowcard
  • Axel Piesold 90' yellowcard
  • goal Gbemi Arubi 12'
  • yellowcard Tyreke Wilson 68'
  • yellowcard D. McDaid 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 69'
  • yellowcard Harry Groome 69'
  • goal B. Burns 81'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 33
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Patrick Hickey 41' goal
  • Colm Horgan 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Doyle 10'
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 90'+1'
  • goal Eoin Kenny 90'+6'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 2, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Bobby Burns 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Stephen Walsh 53'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 64'
  • yellowcard John Caulfield 65'
  • yellowcard Josh O'Connor 83'
  • goal Stephen Walsh 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • 23' goal
  • Ross Munro 23' goal
  • Stephen Walsh 70' yellowcard
  • Maurice Nugent 72' goal
  • Conor McCormack 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Doyle 61'
  • yellowcard Hayden Muller 90'