League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
17
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fshalog.png)
-
Carl Winchester
9'
-
Liam Boyce
15'
-
Adam O'Reilly
59'
-
Danny Mullen
65'
-
Cory O'Sullivan
7'
-
Michael Noonan
70'
-
Aaron McEneff
89'
-
89'
-
Aaron McEneff
90'+4'
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F07%2Fmichael-noonan_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
Result
Derry City
44.69%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
27.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Shamrock Rovers
27.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
46.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
59.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
20.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
79.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
8.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
91.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5
73.67%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
26.33%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
38.53%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
61.47%
▲
(+0.06)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5
62.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
37.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
25.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
74.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Derry City
44.69%
Draw
27.67%
Shamrock Rovers
27.63%
Derry City
1-0
@
13.11%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.69%
2-0 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.69%
Draw
1-1
@
12.92%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.67%
0-0 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.67%
Shamrock Rovers
0-1
@
9.69%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.63%
1-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.63%
