Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Shamrock Rovers

Derry
1 - 2
Shamrock

Mullen (65')
Winchester (9'), Boyce (15'), O'Reilly (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Noonan (70'), McEneff (89')
O'Sullivan (7'), (89'), McEneff (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Derry
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 4-0 St Patrick's
Monday, May 19 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawShamrock Rovers
44.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)27.67% (0.014999999999997 0.01)27.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)59.07% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)79.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)26.33% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (-0.058 -0.06)61.47% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.1% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 44.69%
    Shamrock Rovers 27.63%
    Draw 27.67%
Derry CityDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 13.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.63%

How you voted: Derry vs Shamrock

Derry City
31.3%
Draw
6.3%
Shamrock Rovers
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 7
Shamrock
0-0
Derry
Byrne (64')
McGinty (23')
Mullen (18'), Connolly (31'), Winchester (69')
Mullen (41'), Mullen (42')
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Derry
1-1
Shamrock
Hoban (90+2' pen.)
McMullan (41'), Connolly (53'), O'Reilly (65'), Mullen (68')
Watts (26')
Grace (34'), O'Neil (55'), Kenny (68')
May 20, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Shamrock
1-0
Derry
Kenny (7')
Honohan (45+1'), Cleary (51'), McEneff (86'), Nugent (90+1')

Todd (85')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Derry
1-3
Shamrock
Hoban (87')
Patching (42')
Greene (56', 62'), Towell (69')
Lopes (16'), Honohan (29'), Burns (46'), Gaffney (73')
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Shamrock
2-2
Derry
Burns (59'), Poom (90+2')
Grace (30'), Gaffney (45'), O'Neil (90+5')
Hoban (72' pen.), Mullen (84')
O'Reilly (73'), Doherty (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shamrock RoversShamrock19106333161736
2Drogheda UnitedDrogheda197932519630
3Bohemians1810082119230
4St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's198562622429
5Shelbourne196942220227
6Derry CityDerry188372221127
7Galway United186662121024
8Waterford UnitedWaterford187292030-1023
9Cork City182792131-1013
10Sligo RoversSligo1833122234-1212
> League of Ireland Premier Full Table


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