League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
May 19, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Michael Noonan 22' goal
  • Graham Burke 36' goal
  • Graham Burke 50' goal
  • Aaron Greene 69' goal
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 38'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 60'
  • yellowcard Brandon Kavanagh 77'
  • yellowcard Sean Hoare 88'

Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 16, 2025 7.45pm
Waterford 1 - 3 Shamrock
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Graham Burke

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 16, 2025 7.45pm
St Patrick's 3 - 2 Cork City
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mason Melia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result

Shamrock Rovers 53.59% (+0.21)
Draw 24.79% (+0.15)
St Patrick's Athletic 21.62% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65% (-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.01% (-0.92)
Under 2.5 52.99% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 25.41% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 74.59% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 11.62% (-0.51)
Under 4.5 88.38% (+0.51)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 80.26% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 19.74% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 48.24% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 51.76% (+0.46)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 60.61% (-0.86)
Under 0.5 39.38% (+0.87)
Over 1.5 23.92% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 76.08% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Shamrock Rovers 53.58%
Draw 24.79%
St Patrick's Athletic 21.62%
Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 12.61% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 10.23% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.54% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.79%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 7.24% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 21.62%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Jamie Lennon 25' yellowcard
  • Mason Melia 32' goal
  • Joe Redmond 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jack Byrne 37'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 67'
  • yellowcard Lee Grace 68'
  • goal Lee Grace 88'
  • yellowcard Daniel Cleary 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • 4' goal
  • Cory O'Sullivan 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Grant 64' goal
  • Gary O'Neil 87' yellowcard
  • Josh Honohan 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 21'
  • yellowcard Axel Sjoberg 45'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Sep 27, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Graham Burke 55' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Redmond 1'
  • goal Jake Mulraney 13'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 51'
  • goal Jake Mulraney 59'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Tom Grivosti 17' yellowcard
  • Ruairi Keating 76' goal
  • Joe Redmond 88' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 90'+6' goal
  • goal Johnny Kenny 32'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 58'
  • yellowcard Lee Steacy 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Byrne 89'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watts 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Aaron Greene 4' goal
  • Roberto Lopes 41' yellowcard
  • Daniel Cleary 60' goal
  • Markus Poom 87' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Turner 23'
  • yellowcard Ruairi Keating 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 51'
  • goal Mason Melia 64'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 73'
  • yellowcard Chris Forrester 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 53' goal
  • Alex Nolan 56' goal
  • Jamie Lennon 63' yellowcard
  • goal Darragh Nugent 4'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watts 47'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 49'
  • yellowcard Aaron Greene 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Cleary 90'