Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.