Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.