Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.