Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.