Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.