Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Marie-Marvingt
  • Samuel Yohou 58' yellowcard
  • William Harhouz 69' goal
  • 75' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Sissoko 41'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Cafaro 45'+1'

Le Mans vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 5.00pm
Le Mans 3 - 1 Versailles

Nantes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 4.30pm
Nantes 1 - 1 La Roche

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.15% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.

Result

Le Mans 49.08% (-0.06)
Draw 27.15% (-0.07)
Nantes 23.72% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.78% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.79% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 31.21% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 42.97% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 57.03% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 22.19% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 77.81% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.76% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.24% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 37.08% (+0.06)
Draw 42.53% (-0.19)
Nantes 20.38% (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Le Mans 56.83% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.35% (-0.06)
Nantes 33.82% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.36%
Equal 8 11.78% (-0.03)
Under 8 32.86% (+0.02)
Over 9 43.61% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.75% (-0.02)
Under 9 44.64%
Over 10.5 32.85% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 67.14% (-0.05)

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 41.74% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.26% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.3% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.7% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.01% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.99% (+0.01)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 57.32% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 42.68% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 22.57% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 77.43% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.05% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.95% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.3% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Le Mans 49.09%
Draw 27.15%
Nantes 23.72%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 13.73% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 5.97%
Total : 49.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 27.15%
Nantes
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Total : 23.72%